Williamson County Market Report

Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Just Hit a Five Year High While Inventory Climbs

By John Turner Turner Victory Team June 28, 2026
Quick Answer

Williamson County price per square foot reached approximately $372 in May 2026, up from $248 in May 2021. That is roughly 50% appreciation over five years, confirmed by both Tru Insights data tracked by the Turner Victory Team and independently by Realtracs MLS data. The counterintuitive part is that active inventory in Williamson County has nearly doubled over the same period. Values are climbing even as supply builds, which tells a story about underlying demand and the composition of what is selling.

$372 Avg Sale Price Per Sq Ft May 2026
$248 Avg Sale Price Per Sq Ft May 2021
50% Five Year Appreciation in PPSF
1,735 Active Listings This Week

Williamson County price per square foot has reached a level that surprises most people when they see the chart. Two independent data sources, the Turner Victory Team’s proprietary Tru Insights platform and Realtracs MLS analytics, confirm the same number: average sale price per square foot in Williamson County climbed from approximately $248 in May 2021 to $372 in May 2026. That is a 50% increase over five years, and the trend line is still pointing upward at the right end of the chart.

What makes the Williamson County price per square foot story worth examining closely is the backdrop. Active inventory has nearly doubled since 2023. Months of supply stands at 4.34, which is higher than most sellers would prefer. Yet values keep climbing. That divergence between rising supply and rising price per square foot does not happen by accident. Every week the Turner Victory Team publishes this report using live data to track exactly what is happening across Williamson County. This report covers the week ending June 27, 2026. For live weekly data visit the Williamson County market data page and the Murfreesboro market data hub for the broader Middle Tennessee picture.

What the Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Chart Actually Shows

Williamson County price per square foot did not rise in a straight line. The Realtracs chart going back five years shows the climb in three distinct phases. From May 2021 through mid-2022, price per square foot rose sharply as the post-pandemic demand surge pushed values from $248 toward $330. Then came a leveling period through late 2023 and into early 2024 where Williamson County price per square foot held relatively flat, oscillating between $310 and $345 as interest rates rose and buyer urgency cooled.

Starting in late 2023 and accelerating through 2024 and 2025, the Williamson County price per square foot resumed its climb. By May 2026 it reached approximately $372, a new five year high. The pattern tells you that the 2022 plateau was not a peak. It was a pause. Buyers adjusted to higher rates, the local economy continued to perform, and demand for Williamson County real estate kept absorbing supply even as more homes came to market. A future Turner Victory Team video will examine the specific factors behind this, including potential zoning changes and the shift in what price points are closing most frequently.

Two Sources, One Conclusion The Turner Victory Team’s Tru Insights platform and Realtracs MLS analytics were run independently on the same question: what is the price per square foot trend in Williamson County over the past five years? Both returned the same result. Approximately $248 in May 2021 rising to approximately $372 in May 2026. When two independent data sources confirm the same number, that number is defensible. This is the kind of data the Turner Victory Team uses in every listing consultation and buyer conversation across Williamson County.

Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Compared to the Rest of Middle Tennessee

Williamson County price per square foot at $372 stands well above what buyers find in neighboring markets. Rutherford County, where the Turner Victory Team also publishes weekly market data, runs considerably lower on price per square foot. That gap reflects the difference in school districts, employer proximity, community infrastructure, and the overall demand profile of buyers choosing Williamson County specifically.

The premium has held even as inventory built. That is meaningful. In a market where supply softens demand, you would normally expect price per square foot to compress. The fact that it has not suggests the buyers entering the Williamson County market are not price-sensitive in the same way buyers in surrounding markets are. They are choosing Williamson County for specific reasons and paying for it. Franklin, Nolensville, Brentwood, Spring Hill, and Thompson’s Station all fall under the Williamson County umbrella, and each has its own micro-market character. You can explore community-level data at the areas we serve page.

Williamson County Price Per Square Foot by the Numbers This Week

Williamson County price per square foot sits at a five year high against a market snapshot that shows 1,735 active listings, a Market Health Score of 50 from the Turner Victory Team Tru Insights platform, and months of supply at 4.34. The 30 year fixed mortgage rate is 6.49%. Weekly pendings came in at 108, up from 94 at the same point last year. For 12 straight weeks weekly pending contracts have run at or above 2023, 2024, and 2025 levels, confirming that buyer demand is real even as inventory builds.

Price RangeActive ListingsMonths SupplyShowings Per Listing Per WeekPendings This Week
Under $500K1963.88~1.716
$500K-$599K742.61~4.96
$600K-$699K742.47~3.29
$700K-$799K1524.16~1.67
$800K-$999K2543.95~2.023
$1M-$1.49M3163.46~2.028
$1.5M-$1.99M2044.60~3.013
$2M-$2.99M2256.59~0.67
$3M+23611.42~0.35

The Williamson County price per square foot trend is most visible when you look at where closings are concentrating. The $1 million to $1.49 million bracket is the single largest active inventory pool in the county with 316 homes. When higher-priced homes make up a larger share of closings, the average price per square foot rises even if individual homes have not appreciated dramatically on their own. That price mix effect is one of the factors worth investigating in the future video on why Williamson County price per square foot keeps climbing despite rising supply.

What Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Means If You Are Selling

Williamson County price per square foot at a five year high is good news for sellers in one sense: the underlying value of your asset has grown substantially since 2021. A home that sold for $800,000 in 2021 at $300 per square foot would need to price at roughly $992,000 at today’s $372 per square foot to reflect that same value in the current market, all else equal.

But Williamson County price per square foot being at a high does not protect sellers from overpricing their specific home. Tru Insights data shows that sellers in Williamson County who priced correctly from day one closed in an average of 38 days at 98.7% of their original asking price. Sellers who had to reduce their price took 106 days and walked away with 91.4% of their original ask. On a $1.2 million home, that gap is approximately $88,000 in net proceeds plus two extra months of carrying costs. Right now 36.2% of active Williamson County listings have already cut their price. The market rewards accurate pricing regardless of where the county average sits. Explore how the Turner Victory Team approaches listing strategy for Williamson County sellers, or visit Tru Probability to understand your specific home’s market position.

What Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Means If You Are Buying

Williamson County price per square foot at $372 tells buyers two things. First, the market has not been retreating. People who bought in Williamson County five years ago at $248 per square foot are sitting on roughly 50% appreciation. Waiting for a major price correction has cost those who held out. Second, with inventory at 1,735 active listings, buyers right now have more selection than at almost any point in the past four years. More choices at higher underlying values creates a real opportunity to find a home that fits your needs without the frantic competition of 2021 and 2022.

The sweet spot for buyers right now based on showing activity and months of supply is the $500,000 to $699,000 range, which is sitting at just 2.5 to 2.6 months of supply and generating more showings per listing per week than any other bracket. Above $2 million, months of supply exceeds 6.5 months, which means buyers have genuine leverage. If you are relocating to the area, the Turner Victory Team covers Franklin, Nolensville, Brentwood, Spring Hill, and Thompson’s Station every week. Start the conversation here or reach out directly at 615-586-0900.

If You Are Selling

Williamson County price per square foot at a five year high reflects real appreciation in underlying value. But the market still punishes overpricing. 36.2% of active listings have already cut price. Price right from day one. Learn how the Turner Victory Team prices listings in Williamson County.

If You Are Buying

The five year appreciation shows that waiting has had a cost. But today’s inventory levels give buyers more selection than in years. The $500K-$699K range is moving fastest. Above $2M buyers have real leverage. Talk to us about what fits your timeline and budget.

Questions About Williamson County Price Per Square Foot

The Williamson County price per square foot reached approximately $372 in May 2026 based on average sale price data tracked by the Turner Victory Team through Tru Insights and confirmed independently by Realtracs MLS analytics. This represents a five year high. For comparison, Williamson County price per square foot was approximately $248 in May 2021. The trend has been upward across the full five year period with a notable plateau in 2023 followed by a resumption of the climb through 2024, 2025, and into 2026. Current weekly data is updated every Sunday at the Williamson County market data page.
Williamson County price per square foot rising while active inventory nearly doubles since 2023 is counterintuitive but not unexplained. Two factors are likely contributing. First, the composition of closings is shifting toward higher-priced homes. The $1 million to $1.49 million bracket is now the single largest active inventory pool in the county, and when more closings happen at higher price points, the average price per square foot rises even if individual homes have not each appreciated dramatically. Second, Williamson County buyers tend to be less price-sensitive than buyers in surrounding markets, so supply building has not created the downward pressure on price per square foot that you would see in a more rate-sensitive market. The Turner Victory Team is researching this further for a dedicated future video.
Williamson County price per square foot at approximately $372 runs well above Rutherford County, which tracks closer to the $200 to $230 range depending on the area and price band. That gap reflects differences in school districts, employer access, community infrastructure, and the buyer profile for each county. Rutherford County buyers at the median price of around $485,000 are paying a meaningfully different price per square foot than Williamson County buyers in Franklin, Nolensville, or Brentwood. The Turner Victory Team tracks both markets every week. Live Rutherford County data is at the Rutherford County market data page.
The Williamson County price per square foot chart shows two plateaus in the five year window but no sustained reversal. The first plateau ran from mid-2022 through late 2023 as interest rates rose sharply and buyer urgency cooled. Williamson County price per square foot held relatively flat in the $310 to $345 range during that period. The second plateau came in late 2024 before the trend resumed its climb into 2025 and 2026. Neither plateau turned into a decline on a sustained basis. The five year net result is approximately 50% appreciation from $248 to $372.
Williamson County price per square foot at a five year high means sellers who have owned for several years are sitting on real appreciation. The county average suggests that a home bought in 2021 has gained roughly 50% in value per square foot since then. However, the county average does not automatically translate to your specific home. The market is split into very different conditions by price range. Above $2 million months of supply exceeds 6.5 months, meaning buyers have real leverage there. 36.2% of active listings have already cut their price countywide. Williamson County price per square foot being high does not protect overpriced listings. The Turner Victory Team uses Tru Insights to show sellers exactly where their home sits relative to the current market before setting a price. Start that conversation here.
Yes. Williamson County price per square foot varies meaningfully across communities within the county. Franklin and Brentwood typically run at the higher end of the county range due to proximity to employment, established neighborhoods, and school district reputation. Nolensville and Spring Hill run somewhat lower while still commanding a significant premium over surrounding counties. Thompson’s Station tends to be more affordable on a price per square foot basis while remaining within the Williamson County school system for parts of the community. The $372 county average blends all of these markets. The Turner Victory Team tracks price trends across all Williamson County communities. Reach out at 615-586-0900 for data specific to the community you are considering.
Williamson County price per square foot at a five year high has not slowed buyer demand on a weekly basis. According to Tru Insights tracked by the Turner Victory Team, weekly pending contracts have run at or above 2023, 2024, and 2025 levels for 12 straight weeks. The buyers choosing Williamson County are driven by school district quality, employer proximity to Franklin and Nashville, community infrastructure, and a lifestyle that buyers from higher-cost markets such as California, Illinois, and Florida see as a significant value even at $372 per square foot. Williamson County price per square foot is high by Tennessee standards but remains competitive against comparable markets in other states where those same buyers are relocating from.
The Turner Victory Team tracks Williamson County price per square foot through Tru Insights, the team’s proprietary data platform built on weekly Realtracs MLS uploads, and by cross-referencing the Realtracs analytics dashboard independently. John Turner, creator of Tru Insights and Tru Probability, confirmed the $248 to $372 five year trend in the June 27, 2026 weekly market video after reviewing both data sources side by side. The Turner Victory Team is ranked No. 12 in Tennessee by transaction sides and No. 14 by sales volume among large teams by RealTrends Verified 2026. Weekly Williamson County market data is published every Sunday at turnervictory.com/market-data/williamson-county/.
For buyers relocating from California, Illinois, Florida, or other higher-cost markets, Williamson County price per square foot at $372 still represents significant value compared to what they are leaving. A home in Williamson County that costs $750,000 at roughly $300 to $370 per square foot would cost two to three times more in many coastal markets for comparable quality and square footage. That relative value proposition continues to attract out-of-state buyers to Franklin, Nolensville, and Brentwood. The Turner Victory Team works with relocating buyers frequently and can provide detailed neighborhood guidance before you visit. Start at our relocation guide or call 615-586-0900 to speak with someone who knows both the data and the communities.
The Turner Victory Team does not forecast future prices and anyone who gives you a confident prediction on Williamson County price per square foot direction is speculating. What the data shows is that the five year trend has been consistently upward, that two plateaus resolved back into appreciation rather than decline, and that buyer demand as measured by weekly pendings remains strong. The factors that would pressure Williamson County price per square foot downward, specifically a meaningful drop in demand or a sharp increase in new listings relative to closings, are not visible in the current weekly data. But market conditions change and no trend runs forever. The best decision for any buyer or seller is based on their own timeline and financial position, not on a prediction about future averages. Reach out to the Turner Victory Team for a conversation grounded in current data, not speculation. Contact us here.
As of the week ending June 27, 2026, Williamson County has 1,735 active listings and a months of supply reading of 4.34. The Turner Victory Team Tru Insights Market Health Score for Williamson County is 50, placing the market squarely in balanced territory where neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear overall advantage. However, that 50 score masks significant variation by price range. The $500,000 to $699,000 range sits at 2.5 months of supply, which is a seller’s market. Above $2 million months of supply exceeds 6.5 months, which firmly favors buyers. Where you are priced in Williamson County determines your experience more than the overall county average. Live weekly data at turnervictory.com/market-data/williamson-county/.
Williamson County price per square foot since the pandemic tells a clear story of sustained appreciation with two interruptions. Starting at approximately $248 in May 2021, the post-pandemic demand surge pushed the figure toward $330 by mid-2022. A plateau followed through 2023 as rates rose and urgency cooled. Price per square foot held in the $310 to $345 range during that period. Then starting in late 2023 the climb resumed and has continued through 2024, 2025, and into 2026, reaching approximately $372 in May 2026. Neither plateau produced a sustained decline. The net result over five years is approximately 50% appreciation in Williamson County price per square foot, confirmed by both Tru Insights and Realtracs MLS data independently.

Want to Know What Williamson County Price Per Square Foot Means for Your Home?

The Turner Victory Team will pull your specific Tru Insights data and show you exactly where you stand before you list or make an offer. No pressure. Just the numbers.

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See the Live Data Behind Williamson County Price Per Square Foot

Weekly charts, price trends by bracket, and the Turner Victory Team Tru Insights Market Health Score updated every Sunday.

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John Turner Team Leader Turner Victory Team Murfreesboro TN

John Turner

Team Leader, Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate | Creator of Tru Insights and Tru Probability

John Turner has led the Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate in Murfreesboro, Tennessee since 2000, helping more than 4,455+ buyers and sellers make confident decisions across Rutherford and Williamson Counties over 26+ years. He is the creator of Tru Insights and Tru Probability, the proprietary analytics tools the Turner Victory Team uses to track market conditions, pricing accuracy, and sale outcomes across Middle Tennessee. The Turner Victory Team is ranked No. 12 in Tennessee by transaction sides and No. 14 by sales volume among large teams by RealTrends Verified 2026, and was cited by Yahoo Finance in May 2026 as a source on Middle Tennessee real estate. Market Analysis by John Turner, Creator of Tru Insights. Call or text 615-586-0900 or visit turnervictory.com. Learn more about why neighbors choose the Turner Victory Team and why hiring a real estate team in Murfreesboro makes a difference.