Williamson County Market Report

Williamson County Housing Market by Price Range: Two Markets Inside One County

By John Turner Turner Victory Team June 20, 2026
Quick Answer

The Williamson County housing market by price range is running at two completely different speeds. The $500,000 to $699,000 range has just 2.1 months of supply, a clear seller’s market where nearly 40% of homes sell in the first week. At the other end, the $6 million to $6.99 million range sits at 17.3 months of supply with an average of 200 days on market. Same county, same week, opposite realities. Which market you are in determines almost everything about your experience as a buyer or seller right now.

1,695 Active Listings | Near Multi-Year High
4.37 Months of Supply | Up 8.4% YoY
-34% Pending Drop from May 9 Peak
49 Turner Victory Team Market Health Score | Slight Buyer’s Market

Ask someone whether Williamson County is a seller’s market or a buyer’s market right now and you will get the wrong answer no matter what they say, because the Williamson County housing market by price range is not one market. It is several markets running at the same time inside the same county lines, and the rules are different in each one.

Every week the Turner Victory Team tracks the Williamson County housing market by price range using live Realtracs MLS data and our Tru Insights platform. This report covers the week ending June 20, 2026. For the full four-year historical charts and live interactive data, visit the Williamson County market update page or explore the full Williamson County market charts.

The Overall Williamson County Housing Market Picture

Before breaking down the Williamson County housing market by price range, the county-wide numbers tell an important story on their own. Active listings have risen every single week for eight straight weeks, climbing from 1,491 at the end of April to 1,695 as of June 20, 2026. That is a 13.7% increase in available inventory in less than two months, putting Williamson County near the highest active listing count seen in several years.

Months of supply county-wide sits at 4.37, up 8.4% from a year ago. The Turner Victory Team Market Health Score is 49, which reflects a slight buyer’s market overall. Pending contracts this week came in at 97, which is essentially flat compared to last year’s 96 at this same point. But that flatness masks a more important trend: pending contracts peaked at 148 the week of May 9 and have since fallen 34%. Demand had a strong spring run and has since pulled back toward more typical seasonal levels.

What makes the Williamson County housing market by price range story so important is that these county-wide averages hide more than they reveal. The overall 4.37 months of supply is built from brackets ranging from 2.1 months to 17.3 months. A buyer or seller making decisions based on the county average is working with the wrong number.

Where the Williamson County Housing Market Favors Sellers

Understanding the Williamson County housing market by price range starts with identifying where seller conditions still hold. The answer is concentrated in the mid-range brackets.

Price RangeActive ListingsPended This WeekMonths of SupplyMarket Condition
Under $500K200103.95Balanced
$500K-$599K71102.58Seller’s market
$600K-$699K6582.32Seller’s market
$700K-$799K151124.19Balanced
$800K-$999K243213.88Balanced
$1M-$1.49M324193.69Balanced

The $500,000 to $699,000 range is the strongest pocket in the Williamson County housing market by price range right now. Months of supply in that bracket runs from 2.32 to 2.58, which is a clear seller’s market. Nearly 40% of all homes in Williamson County are going under contract in the first seven days, and the $900,000 range is actually seeing close to half of all homes go under contract in that first week. Well-priced homes in the seller-favoring brackets are not waiting long.

The Speed Test The Williamson County housing market by price range rewards correct pricing with fast contracts and punishes overpricing with long waits. Sellers who priced correctly went under contract in an average of 38 days and received 98.8% of their original asking price. Sellers who had to reduce their price waited 107 days and received 91.4% of their original ask. On a $1.2 million home that gap is roughly $89,000, before three extra months of carrying costs. The market is not slow for well-priced homes. It is very slow for overpriced ones.

Where the Williamson County Housing Market Favors Buyers

The upper end of the Williamson County housing market by price range tells a fundamentally different story. As price points climb above $1.5 million, months of supply rises sharply and buyer leverage becomes real and measurable.

Price RangeActive ListingsPended This WeekMonths of SupplyMarket Condition
$1.5M-$1.99M196114.47Balanced to buyer-leaning
$2M-$2.99M21186.59Buyer’s market
$3M+231611.55Strong buyer’s market

Above $2 million, the Williamson County housing market by price range shifts firmly toward buyers. The $2 million to $2.99 million range sits at 6.59 months of supply. Above $3 million, months of supply climbs to 11.55. At the extreme end, the $6 million to $6.99 million range is running at 17.3 months of supply with an average Tru DOM of 200 days. Sellers in those brackets are not just competing with other listings. They are waiting for a very small pool of buyers to surface, and those buyers know exactly how much leverage they hold.

The 47.1% listing failure rate in Williamson County over the last six months is concentrated heavily in the upper brackets. Nearly half of all homes that came to market in the last six months expired or cancelled without closing. For buyers shopping above $1.5 million, this creates a real opportunity. The fall relist pool from sellers who missed the spring window will bring more motivated sellers to market in September and October, often at more realistic prices. Read more about what happens to homes sitting on the market in Williamson County.

The Condo and Townhome Factor in the Williamson County Housing Market

One bracket deserves special attention when reading the Williamson County housing market by price range: the lower price points, which in Williamson County are predominantly condos and townhomes. These are underperforming relative to single-family homes in the same price range, and two forces are driving that gap.

First, HOA fees. A $300 to $400 monthly HOA payment on a $400,000 condo represents a meaningful percentage of total carrying costs. Buyers at that price point are doing the math and in many cases deciding the fee outweighs the benefit, particularly when single-family homes are more available now than they were during the COVID years.

Second, the COVID shift is reversing. During the inventory shortage of 2020 to 2022, many buyers who wanted a single-family home settled for a condo or townhome because it was what they could get. Now that single-family inventory has grown, those buyers are making the move they originally wanted. Builders who approved condo projects during that period are delivering product into a market where the demand has already shifted back toward detached homes. For buyers in Williamson County watching the Williamson County market update each week, this dynamic is worth understanding before making a purchase decision at the lower end.

What the Williamson County Housing Market by Price Range Means for Sellers

The most important thing a seller in Williamson County can do right now is understand which version of the Williamson County housing market by price range they are actually in. The county-wide numbers will not tell you. Your specific bracket will.

If you are between $500,000 and $699,000 and priced correctly, the buyers are there and moving. You are in a seller’s market whether the headlines say so or not. If you are above $1.5 million you are competing for a smaller pool of buyers in a market where 35.5% of active listings have already taken a price cut averaging $108,326. The sellers succeeding in the upper brackets are the ones who accepted that reality at launch rather than discovering it 90 days later.

Right now 442 homes in Williamson County have been on the market for 90 days or more. That is 26% of all active inventory. Of homes that reach the 90-day mark, 66% never sell under that MLS number. Once a home becomes part of the stale inventory in the Williamson County housing market by price range, the odds shift dramatically against the seller. Learn more about how the Turner Victory Team approaches pricing strategy before you list.

What the Williamson County Housing Market by Price Range Means for Buyers

For buyers, the Williamson County housing market by price range creates very different decision environments depending on where you are shopping.

Below $700,000, competition is real. The $500,000 to $699,000 range has some of the tightest supply in the county. If you find the right home, move with intention. Waiting to see if something better comes along in a 2.1-month supply bracket is a real risk.

Above $1.5 million, the dynamic reverses. You have time, you have choices, and you have leverage. The 442 homes currently sitting at 90 days or more include a meaningful number of sellers who have already adjusted expectations once and are ready to make a deal. Fall will likely bring another wave of motivated relists from sellers who missed the spring window. For buyers in the luxury end of the Williamson County housing market by price range, patience is a genuine strategy right now. Learn how the Turner Victory Team guides buyers through live Tru Insights data every week.

If You Are Selling

The Williamson County housing market by price range determines your strategy. Under $700K and priced right, move with confidence. Above $1.5M, price it correctly from day one. The 107-day average wait for sellers who had to cut price is not a number you want to live through. See how the Turner Victory Team approaches listings differently.

If You Are Buying

Know your bracket before you write an offer. Under $700K you are competing. Above $1.5M you have leverage the headline numbers do not reflect. The 442 homes sitting at 90 days or more are worth a close look. The Turner Victory Team can show you which homes have motivated sellers and which are still holding out for a price the market will not pay.

Which Williamson County are you in? That is really what we are talking about today with this Williamson County real estate report, because right now from a real estate standpoint we are seeing two different markets inside one county. I am John Turner, team leader of the Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate. We bring you the Williamson County Real Estate Report every week and this week we are getting into the two different sides of what we are seeing.

The three things you need to know about Williamson County real estate this week. First, the $500,000 to $700,000 range has only 2.1 months of supply. A clear seller’s market. But when you start getting into higher price points, you have over a year and a half of supply in some brackets. Same county, totally different results. Second, demand has been softening. We peaked at 148 pending home sales the week of May 9th. This week there were 97. That is a 34% drop in demand from the peak. Third, as a seller you have to price your home correctly. Homes that did not need a price reduction went under contract in an average of 38 days. Homes that had to reduce their price averaged 107 days on the market. Thirty-eight days versus 107 days.

The Turner Victory Team Market Health Score for Williamson County right now is 49. Still a balanced market but slightly toward buyers. We have 1,695 active homes on the market, giving us a 4.37 month supply. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.47%, down slightly from last week.

Looking at the weekly activity, we have 1,695 homes active with 26% new construction. 122 new listings came on this week with 33% being new construction. 97 homes went under contract and only 20% of those were new construction. Below $1.5 million except for the $700,000 range we are in what we consider a buyer’s market. The $700,000 to $800,000 range has 151 active listings with only 12 going under contract last week. Lot of competition there. Above $2 million the market has slowed down considerably.

Looking at active inventory, we are at the highest point we have seen in many years. We had 1,599 last year at peak, so we now have nearly 100 more homes than at any point in the past four years. The months of supply has crept up to 4.37 and is not far off the 4.03 from last year but the direction has been upward.

New listings have been a theme all year. Every week we stay well below what we had in the past two years. This week 122 versus 233 the same week last year. But on weekly pendings the orange line for 2026 is only ahead by one compared to last year. We had a run where we were well ahead of last year and now we are back to basically flat with 2025. Not a trend yet but three straight weeks like this gets your attention.

On the speed of the market, almost 40% of all homes in Williamson County go under contract in the first week. In the $900,000 range almost half the homes sell in that first week. But there is also a large group sitting 90 days or more. Once you hit 90 days, 66% of homes that reach that mark do not sell under that MLS number. Of that 66%, 13% come back and sell under another MLS number but 52% just never sell. Right now 26% of the Williamson County market, 442 homes, have been on the market 90 days or more. Out of those roughly 225 to 250 homes will never sell.

Active inventory by price range shows the most inventory in the $1 million to $1.5 million range. Active relists are especially high in the lower price ranges and in the $800,000 to $1 million range, where almost 30% of those homes have been pulled off and relisted because they were not getting activity.

On showings, the most showings are happening in the $600,000 to $700,000 range at about four showings per week. But overall showings have declined from a peak of 2.76 down to about 2.0. That is a leading indicator telling us demand is slowing down a little. Fewer showings leads directly to fewer pendings.

For new construction permits, Williamson County pulled 86 permits in April. Not nearly as much as some of the surrounding counties.

So the two markets in Williamson County. You can look at it this way: nearly 40% of homes are going under contract in the first week, which tells you buyers are out there and buying when they find something priced and presented correctly. But if you miss on those things there is a very good chance you are going to be on the market a long time. And the luxury price ranges continue to build up supply. The lower price points, which are mainly condos and townhomes, are not doing as well. HOA fees continue to rise and make it tougher for buyers. And buyers who settled for a condo during COVID because that was all they could get are now finding single-family homes available and making that switch. If you need help figuring out which Williamson County you are in, reach out at TurnerVictory.com or call 615-586-0900.

Questions About the Williamson County Housing Market by Price Range

The Williamson County housing market by price range is both simultaneously depending on where you are priced. The $500,000 to $699,000 range has just 2.1 to 2.6 months of supply, which is a clear seller’s market. Above $2 million, months of supply exceeds 6 months, which is a buyer’s market. The overall county figure of 4.37 months is an average that masks this wide variation. The Turner Victory Team Market Health Score sits at 49 for the week ending June 20, 2026, indicating a slight lean toward buyers at the county level.
Looking at the Williamson County housing market by price range, the $3 million and above brackets carry the highest months of supply. The $3 million-plus range sits at 11.55 months overall, with the $6 million to $6.99 million bracket at an extreme 17.3 months and an average Tru DOM of 200 days. The $1 million to $1.49 million range has the highest raw count of active listings at 324 homes. The $1.5 million to $1.99 million range follows with 196 active listings at 4.47 months of supply.
The $500,000 to $699,000 range is the strongest seller’s market in the Williamson County housing market by price range right now. Months of supply runs from 2.32 to 2.58 in those brackets. Nearly 40% of all homes across the county are going under contract in the first week, and this price range is among the fastest-moving in the county. Sellers here who price correctly should expect strong early activity. Buyers in this range should be prepared to move quickly and make competitive offers.
Pending sales in Williamson County peaked at 148 the week of May 9, 2026 and have declined 34% to 97 this week. Two factors are driving this. First, normal seasonal deceleration as the spring buying window closes. Buyers who wanted to move before the school year are either already under contract or have paused until fall. Second, showing activity has declined from a peak of 2.76 showings per active listing per week down to approximately 2.0, which is a leading indicator that pending contracts will remain softer in the near term. Consumer sentiment at 49.80 is also historically low, which tends to slow buyer decision cycles.
The cost of overpricing in the Williamson County housing market by price range is significant and measurable. Sellers who priced correctly from day one went under contract in 38 days and received 98.8% of their original asking price. Sellers who had to reduce their price waited 107 days on average and received 91.4% of their original ask. That is a 69-day penalty and a 7.4-point gap in final sale price. On a $1.2 million home that difference equals roughly $89,000, before three extra months of mortgage payments, taxes, insurance, and carrying costs. Currently 35.5% of active listings in Williamson County have already taken at least one price cut averaging $108,326.
The lower price points in the Williamson County housing market by price range are underperforming for two connected reasons. First, HOA fees have continued rising, making attached properties less attractive at entry-level price points where a $300 to $400 monthly fee represents a significant percentage of total carrying costs. Second, buyers who settled for condos and townhomes during the COVID inventory shortage are now finding single-family homes available and making the switch they originally wanted. Builders who approved condo projects during that period are delivering product into a market where demand has already shifted back toward detached homes.
As of the week ending June 20, 2026, 442 homes in Williamson County representing 26% of all active inventory have been on the market for 90 days or more without going under contract. Of homes that reach the 90-day mark, Tru Insights data shows 66% never sell under that MLS number. Of that 66%, roughly 13% eventually sell under a new MLS number and 52% never sell at all. Most of these homes missed on price, presentation, or both at launch. Once past 90 days, generating fresh buyer interest becomes significantly harder even after a price reduction.
The upper end of the Williamson County housing market by price range currently favors buyers more than at any point in recent years. Above $2 million, months of supply exceeds 6 months. Above $3 million it exceeds 11 months. The $6 million to $6.99 million range is at 17.3 months with average Tru DOM of 200 days. The 47.1% listing failure rate over the last six months means a significant number of these sellers have already been through one failed listing attempt. Fall will likely bring a fresh crop of motivated relists from sellers who missed the spring window. Buyers with patience and a clear sense of value have real negotiating leverage at the luxury end of this market right now.
New construction represents 26% of all active Williamson County inventory and 20% of homes going under contract this week. Williamson County pulled 86 residential building permits in April 2026, which is significantly lower than Rutherford County’s 217 permits over the same period. New construction is a factor in the Williamson County housing market by price range primarily in the mid-range brackets. Resale sellers competing with new construction in those ranges need to account for builder incentives including rate buydowns and closing cost credits when setting their price and preparing their home for market.
The Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate publishes detailed Williamson County housing market data every Sunday using live Realtracs MLS data and the Tru Insights platform. John Turner has tracked and published this weekly report since 2000 and is ranked among the top real estate teams in Tennessee by RealTrends Verified 2026. Data includes active listings and months of supply by price range, pending contracts, new listings, speed of sale, relist rates, showing trends, and the proprietary Turner Victory Team Market Health Score. All data is available at TurnerVictory.com every Sunday. Call or text 615-586-0900 with questions.
If you are relocating to Franklin, Brentwood, Nolensville, Spring Hill, or Thompsons Station, the most important thing to understand about the Williamson County housing market by price range is that your budget determines your experience. Under $700,000 you will find more competition and need to move with purpose when the right home appears. Above $1.5 million you will have more choices, more time, and more negotiating room than you might expect based on Williamson County’s reputation as a high-demand market. The Turner Victory Team serves buyers relocating to all of these communities and can walk you through the specific supply and demand conditions for your price range before you begin your search. Visit our Middle Tennessee relocation guide to get started.

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John Turner Team Leader Turner Victory Team Murfreesboro TN

John Turner

Team Leader, Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate | Since 2000

John Turner has led the Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate in Murfreesboro, Tennessee since 2000, helping more than 4,455+ buyers and sellers make confident decisions across Rutherford and Williamson Counties over 26+ years. He is the creator of Tru Insights and Tru Probability, the proprietary analytics tools the Turner Victory Team uses to track market conditions, pricing accuracy, and sale outcomes across Middle Tennessee. The Turner Victory Team is ranked #13 in Tennessee by transaction sides and #15 by sales volume among large teams by RealTrends Verified 2026, and was cited by Yahoo Finance in May 2026 as a source on Middle Tennessee real estate. John publishes this weekly market report using live Realtracs MLS data to give buyers and sellers the clearest possible picture of what is happening right now. Call or text 615-586-0900 or visit turnervictory.com. Learn more about why neighbors choose the Turner Victory Team and why hiring a real estate team in Murfreesboro makes a difference.