Home Sales in Williamson County May 2026: The Strongest Demand in Years

We have seen a surge in pending home sales in Williamson County for the month of May, up 26% new pending. So I am John Turner, the team leader of the Turner Victory Team with Onward Real Estate. I am here bringing you the Williamson County Real Estate Report. And there are three things that you need to know about the market this week in Williamson County.

Number one, as I just said, May contract surge 26%. There were 540 new contracts this May versus 433 last May. There are also fewer listings. This is the second thing you need to know. Fewer listings, listings fell 16%. So that is a dynamic we have been seeing for quite a while. We have got a chart that will show you what is going on there. But contracts are up 25%, listings are down 16%.

The other thing that we need to watch, we are watching right now, is that even though our pending contracts really surged this past week, they declined year over year. That is one week. We are not going to put a lot of stock into it, but we are going to look at it and keep an eye on that.

First of all, let us get our May recap for Williamson County. Now what you are seeing on the screen right now is only for single family homes. Once we get into some of the charts that will be for the entire market which will be single family homes plus townhomes, condos, and things of that nature. But our new listings were down 16% year over year. New under contract, we call them pendings, up 25% year over year. That is a huge increase. Some of the biggest numbers we have seen in quite some time. Where we look at our closings, interestingly enough closings were up 3%, but only 3%, because based upon some of the pending home sales we have seen, you would think it might be higher. I really think a lot of our pending home sales are in new construction, so we will see some of those closings show up down the road.

Whenever you look at the average sales price, average sales price is up 11% in Williamson County this May versus last May. So $1,366,314 versus $1,228,186 last year. So average sales price for May was up. Also, if you look at months supply right now, if you only include single family homes, it is up slightly, up 3%, to just below four months supply of inventory.

All right, let us check out what has happened this week. We have a balanced market right now. The Turner Victory Market Health Score right now has us at 50, which means it is neither trending towards buyers or sellers. Interestingly enough, it has been trending towards sellers. But because of some of the slowdown in pending home sales in the past week or so, it has affected that number. There are 1,591 active listings. When you look all across the market, you have 4.13 months supply. That would include the townhomes and condos.

You can look at your price ranges. Anything below one and a half million right now, we have less than four months supply of inventory. And in many of these price points we are at three and a half or below. So very interesting, and it is interesting too that your one million to one and a half has less supply than the seven hundreds through the one million price point. So that is just an interesting dynamic going on right now, something to keep an eye on.

It does seem like that million to million and a half is tightening. When we look at our weekly charts, you can see our active inventory has continued to increase. Fifteen hundred ninety one as we talked about, last year we topped out right around sixteen hundred. We will see if we top out there or go even higher. But what is happening and we are seeing this a lot in the market, we are calling them passover homes. A lot of this inventory here, these are homes that have been passed over. They are not priced right, they are not presented right, and buyers are saying they do not see the value, the value is not there, so they are just passing over it. You do not want to be a passover seller in this market. It is going to be very frustrating for you. You are going to have to get realistic about presentation and pricing.

Months supply actually took a dip. We were at 4.43, we are down at 4.13 right now. This has to do with the pending home sales going up and the inventory, the new listings, shrinking. So between those two things, it is affecting months supply.

New listings: look at this gap. The gray is 2024. Look how much lower we have been below 2025 numbers with our new listings. So that is really a telling sign. And even though our active inventory is going up, the market is starting to tighten, especially whenever you add in the weekly pendings. You can see the weekly pendings, especially the past seven weeks, you really have seen the increase over 2025. This is that little dip we are seeing right now, 107 pending homes this week versus 120 last week. It is not a huge number. It is not anything that I am going to get overly concerned about. And you can see the trend even last year was for this to be sliding down. The question is does this bounce back or not. And that is really what we are going to watch over the next two or three weeks.

We still are seeing a pretty good speed of sale. Right now in all price brackets, you have a 38% chance of your home going under contract in the first week in Williamson County. But you have to price it right, present it right, position it correctly against your competition, and you need an agent who is going to promote it correctly. But that is actually a very strong number. Almost four out of ten homes that hit the market are going under contract within that first seven days.

If you go over 90 days on the market, almost 67% of all homes that are on the market for over 90 days just do not sell. Right now, out of the 1,591 homes, 402 have been on the market for over 90 days. So that is over 25% of the market. Those are the passover homes. Those are the homes that people have looked at, they have had a chance to see it, and for whatever reason they have not selected it. And it is usually something that the seller can do something about. It is usually presentation, it is usually pricing.

Monthly closings: we had 510 closings in May. Last May we had 506. So essentially flat year over year. The other thing I want to talk about is our showings. We have been noticing this trend. We were at 2.76 showings per listing. Right now we are down to basically two showings per listing. That is across the board. Buyers are most active in the $500,000 to $600,000 price range and the $600,000 to $700,000 price range. But even at that, the one million to one and a half million is still getting quite a bit of activity as well, being over two showings per week.

Mortgage rates: they have been resilient. They have gone up from the 5.98 that we were down at a few weeks ago, but they have not increased quite what I thought they would have. We did see it drop from 6.53 to 6.48 this week. I will remind you that we were at 6.85 this time last year, so definitely better than what they were this time last year. And that has helped make things a little bit more affordable. We are seeing prices though continue to go up a little bit in Williamson County. So that is hurting affordability a little bit there as well, but it has not seemed to slow the market.

May was one of the strongest demand months we have seen in Williamson County in several years. Prices are up. Buyers are active. There are multiple offers out there, just for your information. Do not think that you are going to go in and steal something. Now something that is on the market 90 days or more, you may have a really good chance of getting them to come off the price and giving you some good concessions. But you are still seeing a lot of competition for those houses that are priced and presented and positioned correctly.

Pricing matters more than ever. If you look across the board, once a seller had to start reducing their price, it actually on average costs the seller about $86,000. So once you start reducing, if you do not hit that price point off the bat and you start reducing, it is going to cost you quite a bit of money. So that overpricing penalty is real. I hope this information helps you. I am John Turner, the team lead with the Turner Victory Team at Onward Real Estate. We enjoy using this data to help our buyers and sellers make good, clear, informed decisions about what is going on with their real estate. If you need any help, please reach out to us. Again, thanks for tuning in, and until next week, we hope you make it a great week. Thank you.